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Gas supplies expected to meet British demand this summer
Summary
National Gas says Britain should have sufficient gas to meet summer 2026 demand and to export some supply to mainland Europe, despite market disruption linked to the Middle East.
Content
National Gas has published its outlook for summer 2026 and says Britain should have sufficient gas to meet household and business demand. The operator also reports that available stocks are expected to allow some exports to mainland Europe. The outlook was issued amid wider market disruption tied to the conflict in the Middle East, which has pushed up global energy prices.
Key points:
- National Gas reviewed its forecasts after the recent market disruption and concluded the system has the capacity to deliver expected summer supply and demand.
- Around 86% of expected supply (25.3 bcm) is forecast to come from the UK Continental Shelf and imports from Norway, with about 5% from flexible storage and 9% from LNG imports.
- Demand is forecast to be similar to summer 2025, with a roughly 6% reduction in gas for electricity generation partly offset by an expected 2% rise in residential and commercial non-daily metered demand.
Summary:
National Gas's outlook indicates expected supplies should cover Britain's summer 2026 demand and permit limited exports, reflecting a mix of domestic production, Norway imports, storage and LNG. Undetermined at this time.
